What is the probability of positive paternal rights?

親子鑑定 NIPPT DNA鑑定 

Summary of this article

Paternity Positive Probability is a number that indicates the probability of biological paternity in a DNA test. The following is a detailed explanation of what this probability means and how it is calculated.

Probability of Paternity (PP) refers to the probability that a DNA paternity test indicates the likelihood that a particular male is the biological father of a child. It is a statistical value calculated based on the results of the test and used to assess whether a parent-child relationship exists. This value is only calculated when the father is determined to be the father. On the other hand, when paternity is denied, the probability of paternity denial is stated in the expert report.

Calculation of the probability of positive paternity.

The probability of positive paternity is usually calculated as follows:

  1. Likelihood Ratio (LR): first, the ratio of the probability that a particular male is the father (the probability that the assumed father is actually the father) to the probability that an unrelated male is the father. The ratio of the probability that a particular man is the father (the probability that the assumed father is not the father) to the probability that an unrelated man is the father (the probability that the assumed father is not the father).
  2. Calculation of the probability of positive paternity (PP):

Interpretation of paternal rights positive probability.

  • 99% and above: There is a very high probability that a parent-child relationship is established. This level of probability is usually required legally.
  • 90%-98.9%: A high, but not extremely high, probability that a parent-child relationship is established. Additional tests and evidence may be required.
  • 50%-89.9%: possible parent-child relationship, but not conclusive.
  • Less than 50%: the parent-child relationship is likely to be denied.

Actual use

Paternity affirmation probabilities are often used in court and in confirming parent-child relationships, particularly in legal proceedings such as trials, where a paternity affirmation probability of 99% or more is commonly required.

Summary

‘Paternity affirmation probability’ is the probability, based on DNA test results, that a particular man is likely to be the biological father of a child. A probability of 99% or more is usually considered highly reliable and is an important legal indicator. Although 99% or more is high, HIRO CLINIC aims for a level of 99.9999999999% or more (12 or more 9s).

医師監修 監修日:2024年8月28日

岡 博史 (おか ひろし)

医師・医学博士 ヒロクリニック統括院長

YouTubeチャンネルなどを通じて、遺伝子やNIPT(新型出生前診断)についてわかりやすく発信しています。

略歴

  • 1996年 慶應義塾大学医学部 卒業
  • 2004年 慶應義塾大学 医学博士号 取得
  • 2005年 慶應義塾大学 皮膚科学教室 助手
  • 2008年 ヒロ皮フ形成クリニック 開業
  • 2009年 医療法人社団福美会 理事長
  • 2015年 医療法人社団福美会 理事

資格・所属

  • CAPラボディレクター
  • 日本皮膚科学会 皮膚科専門医
  • 日本医師会 産業医
  • 東京衛生検査所 指導監督医

この記事は、 ヒロクリニックNIPPTの編集・監修体制 にもとづき、資格を持つ医師が内容を確認しています。

医師監修 監修日:2024年8月28日

堤 修一 (つつみ しゅういち)

医師・医学博士 ヒロクリニック博多駅前院 院長

略歴

  • 1993年 東京大学医学部医学科 卒業
  • 2016〜2019年 東京大学先端科学技術研究センター 准教授

発信・関連リンク

この記事は、 ヒロクリニックNIPPTの編集・監修体制 にもとづき、資格を持つ医師が内容を確認しています。

Supervisor of the article


Dr. Hiroshi Oka

Director of CAP Laboratory

Graduated from Keio University, Faculty of Medicine

Doctor of Medicine

Medical Doctor